The election filled the Senate seat currently held by Tom Harkin (D). Harkin was first elected in 1984. On January 26, 2013, Harkin announced that he would not seek re-election once his current term expires. Upon his retirement, he will have served in the U.S. Senate for 30 years. He said of his retirement, "I have mixed feelings. You know what, it's somebody else's turn. To walk away from this position and this power is not an easy thing. But I think it's the right thing."[3]
The political environment in Iowa made the outcome of the U.S. Senate race hard to determine. Both candidates had been actively attacking each other, with accusations of missing committee meetings and votes being the most prominent.[4] The Cook Political Report designated the state as a "Toss Up" and most other polls showed each candidate gaining and losing leads by slim margins. Polls released in mid-October had revealed that both candidates were in a dead heat for the seat. Multiple polls showed Ernst with a one point lead while Public Policy Polling numbers showed Braley with a one point lead as well.
Harkin, the retiring incumbent, withheld his campaign finances that totaled around $2.4 million. He refused to accept requests from top Democrats, such as Harry Reid, to transfer the money to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. The refusal came as a shock as Democrats struggled to keep Harkin's seat from switching over to the Republicans. Harkin stated that he intended to donate the money to the Harkin Institute for Public Policy and Citizen Engagement at Drake University, the public policy program that bears his name. A Democratic aide stated: “It is ridiculous that Bruce Braley is getting outspent by Republicans when Tom Harkin is sitting on over $2 million in his campaign account."[5]
Absentee ballots played an important role in the general election as Democrats outnumbered Republicans in number of early ballots requested. Of the 184,743 absentee ballots requested, 51.5 percent were for registered Democrats while 27.6 percent were for registered Republicans.[6] These numbers, however, changed a few weeks later with Republicans showing a stronger turnout in early voting. There were 134,124 Republicans and 143,588 Democrats who requested absentee ballots. The numbers may have helped bolster Ernst's campaign and turn out better voter enthusiasm among Republicans.[7]
Braley often voted within party lines and was strongly supportive of Democratic issues, such as Obamacare and reproductive rights. He received key endorsements from Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren. Financially, Braley proved himself as a competitive fundraiser through grossing over $3 million cash-on-hand.[8]
The establishment and tea party wings of the Republican party both rallied behind state Sen. Joni Ernst.[9] She was the Lieutenant Colonel of the Iowa National Guard and had spent most of her life in military service. She was a strong supporter of conservative issues, such as repealingObamacare. She was the first woman from Iowa to represent her state in the U.S. Senate. She received key endorsements from figures such asSarah Palin and Mitt Romney.[10][11]
Braley ran unopposed in the Democratic primary and easily secured his nomination. Ernst had to face four other opponents in a congested Republican primary. She defeated her opponents by securing 56.2 percent of the preceding votes, more than the simple majority.
Libertarian candidate Douglas Butzier successfully made it onto the ballot. Butzier, however, died in a tragic plane crash on the night of October 13, 2014. He was flying solo in a single-engine airplane that crashed one mile north of Dubuque Regional Airport. Butzier's name still appeared on the ballot.[12]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Primary: Iowa is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. The primary is closed, but voters are allowed to change their political party affiliation on election day.[13]
Voter registration: To vote in the primary voters were required to register by either May 26, 2014, to pre-register, or on election day. For thegeneral election, the voter registration deadline was October 25, 2014 (10 days before election day).[14]
- See also: Iowa elections, 2014
Incumbent: The election held by Tom Harkin (D). Harkin was first elected in 1984. On January 26, 2013, Harkin announced that he would not seek re-election once his current term expires. Upon his retirement, he will have served in the U.S. Senate for 30 years. Prior to this, he served in theU.S. House for ten years. He said of his retirement, "I have mixed feelings. You know what, it's somebody else's turn. To walk away from this position and this power is not an easy thing. But I think it's the right thing."[15]
Candidates
General election candidates
Joni Ernst
Bruce Braley
Bob Quast- Rick Stewart
- Ruth Smith
Douglas Butzier- Deceased but will still appear on ballot.
June 3, 2014, primary results
Republican Primary
| Democratic Primary |
Failed to file
- Paul Lundby - Attorney[31]
Rumored candidates
- Brad Zaun - State Senator[16]
- A.J. Spiker - Chairman of the Iowa Republican Party[32]
Declined
- Tom Vilsack - Former Iowa Governor and current U.S. Secretary of Agriculture[33]
- Dave Loebsack: U.S. Representative[34]
- Kevin McCarthy - State representative[35]
- Bob Vander Plaats - CEO of The Family Leader[36][37][38]
- David Young - Former Chief of Staff to Sen. Chuck Grassley[39][40]
- Tom Latham - On February 27, the representative from District 3 sent an email to his supporters announcing that he would not be running for the seat.[41]
- Bill Northey - Iowa Secretary of Agriculture[42][43]
- Matt Schultz - Iowa Secretary of State[16][44][45][46]
- Kim Reynolds - Iowa Lt. Governor[47]
- Steve King: U.S. Rep, District 4[29][48][49]
Race background
Most vulnerable seats
The FiscalTimes compiled a list of the seven most vulnerable Senate seats up for election in 2014. The seven included in the list are: Alaska,Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, South Dakota and West Virginia. Going into the 2014 election, all seven seats are held by Democrats.[50]
Primary results
| [hide]U.S. Senate, Iowa Republican Primary, 2014 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
| Joni Ernst | 56.2% | 88,535 | ||
| Sam Clovis | 18% | 28,418 | ||
| Mark Jacobs | 16.8% | 26,523 | ||
| Matt Whitaker | 7.5% | 11,884 | ||
| Scott Schaben | 1.4% | 2,233 | ||
| Total Votes | 157,593 | |||
| Source: Iowa Secretary of State | ||||
Key votes
Below are important votes the incumbent cast during the 113th Congress.
Government shutdown
-
- See also: United States budget debate, 2013
During the shutdown in October 2013, the Senate rejected, down party lines, every House-originated bill that stripped the budget of funding for the Affordable Care Act. A deal was reached late on October 16, 2013, just hours before the debt ceiling deadline. The bill to reopen the government, H.R. 2775, lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification forObamacare subsidies.[51] The final vote on H.R. 2775 was 81-18, with all 18 votes against the bill from Republican members. Harkin voted with theDemocratic Party for the bill.[52]Issues
Campaign issues
Braley
Braley's campaign website listed the following issues:
| “ | Jobs & Economy: Protecting the right to organize for better and safer working conditions is important to Bruce. He took a strong stance against attempts to curb collective bargaining rights and has voted for legislation in Congress to improve worker safety in numerous fields of work.
Bruce also understands that Iowa’s small businesses are the lifeblood of our economy. By helping to strengthen small businesses, we can strengthen job opportunities for every Iowan.
Healthcare: All Iowans deserve quality, affordable healthcare that provides families with health security. Iowans can’t afford to go back to the days when insurance companies could deny people insurance based on pre-existing conditions, or kick people off their insurance when they got sick, or increase premiums with no justification.
Veterans: Bruce Braley believes that our country should support our troops not only when they’re fighting abroad, but when they return home. That’s why he’s worked so hard for America’s military veterans. Braley introduced and passed a law to give tax breaks to companies that hire veterans returning from duty, unemployed veterans, and wounded warriors. Braley also successfully took on the Pentagon to secure overdue combat pay for 800 Iowa National Guard troops who fought in Iraq and Afghanistan, and helped secure full GI Bill education benefits that were initially denied to 600 Iowa National Guard soldiers[53]
| ” |
Ernst
Ernst's campaign website listed the following issues:
| “ | Creating Jobs: Joni supports pro-growth tax and economic policies that will unleash the full potential of America’s free market economy and create new, better paying jobs so that more of our neighbors have jobs to go to each day in order to support their families. Joni believes the free market is the greatest job creating machine ever built, but only when the government gets out of the way. She supports rolling back Washington-created job-killing regulations that are crushing small business.
Real and Meaningful Health Care Reform: Joni is staunchly opposed to the Obamacare law. Joni supports immediate action to repeal Obamacare and replace it with common sense, free-market alternatives that put patients first, and health care decisions back in the hands of each of us rather than Washington bureaucrats.
Keeping America Strong in the World: Joni believes in a strong national defense because she knows the world is a safer place when America is the strongest nation on the planet. She believes that military readiness cannot be allowed to fall victim to Washington politics or bureaucratic maneuvering. Joni also believes that American foreign policy must be consistent and strong – never giving our enemies hesitation as to America’s resolve to defend herself and her interests across the globe, whether by diplomatic means or use of force.[53]
| ” |
Debate: October 11
The October 4, 2014 debate helped clarify positions each candidate took on key issues leading up to the general election.
The Environment: Addressing the purview of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) was one of the most prominent issues discussed during the debate, due to each candidate's stance on the issue. Ernst, who had previously campaigned to end the EPA, stated that her stance is logical because she advocated for allowing states to decide how to utilize their natural resources. Braley countered her position with the argument that the agency was originally created by a Republican president to prevent pollution in a time where state cooperation on the issue saw minimal success.
Gun Control: Braley, who advocated for increased background checks, went on the offensive stating that “Sen. Ernst doesn’t think you should even need to go through a permit process to carry a concealed weapon and should be able to carry guns in churches and bars.” He stated that the second amendment should be treated as a "balancing act" between having gun rights and providing equal protection for everyone. Ernst expressed her concern with gun violence but indicated that she would rather focus on improving mental healthcare and enforcing existing laws.
Foreign Policy: The discussion of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) dominated the debate of America's position in the world today. Both candidates were strongly in favor of combating the Islamic militants, but differed slightly in approach. Braley stated that more deliberations in Congress needed to take place in order to better coordinate strategy against ISIS while Ernst criticized that approach as unresponsive. Ernst was in favor of arming the Free Syrian Army, and other moderate rebel groups, to help combat ISIS while Braley noted about the uncertainty of providing weapons to groups we know little about.
Healthcare: "Obamacare" dominated the discussion when a voter asked Ernst if he would lose his medical coverage if the law was repealed. Ernst announced that she supported affordable access to healthcare, but Obamacare was not the way to implement it. Braley emphasized how coverage was less extensive before the law went into place and that the initiative has improved the quality and access to healthcare for millions of Americans.
Immigration: Ernst took a moderate stance on immigration through supporting the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program. Though opposed to amnesty for illegal immigrants, Ernst said she recognized that it was not fair to punish children who arrive in the United States not acting on their own will.
America's Biggest Hypocrite |
Campaign Finance: Both candidates agreed that more transparency is needed for campaign finances and outside group spending during elections. Braley called for banning "dark political money" being spent to sway voters in election. Ernst agreed and noted that Braley's campaign outspent her own during the course of the election. The two also debated each others' financial allegiances. Braley referenced the support Ernst receives from David and Charles Koch. Ernst defended her support saying she never signed any pledges or promises to her donors to which Braley quickly pointed to her signing of the "no-new-taxes" pledge. Ernst would later connect Braley to the Senate Majority PAC and Tom Steyer's Super PAC, both of which have spent significant money on the election in Iowa.[54]
One day before the debate, the group American Commitment released an ad questioning Braley's attacks on Ernst's outside donations, specifically the money Braley received from Tom Steyer, a billionaire based out of California.
Debate: October 16
The candidates held their third debate on October 16, 2014. Both candidates took similar positions on previously discussed issues along with new issues being brought up by the moderator.
Healthcare: As in previous debates, both candidates sparred over the issue of Obamacare. Ernst attacked Braley for saying he previously was in full support of the new healthcare legislation, only to now support changing some aspects of it. She said this proves he either did not know the full extent of the legislation or he purposely mislead Iowa's voters when supporting it. Braley countered Ernst's claims through stating that when dealing with needed changes in our healthcare system, there are bound to be issues with implementation. He defended his support for changes by emphasizing that they will improve the bill and its ability to expand coverage to Iowans. Moreover, he opposed repealing the bill saying that it will cause premiums to increase for Americans, including Iowans.
Ebola: A new issue brought to both candidates was the spread of the Ebola virus throughout Africa and the danger that a global outbreak that could affect the United States. Ernst criticized Braley for supporting the Obama administration's action on Ebola, which she labeled as "reactive" instead of "proactive." Braley rebutted the statement by stating that the Obama administration took steps to protect the United States and that the Republicans, through control of the U.S. House, were in control of setting the hearing times on the matter. Both candidates indicated they would support some type of travel ban to curtail the spread of the virus.
Internal Revenue Service: As with many other federal programs, Ernst stated she was in support of dismantling the International Revenue Service and starting over with a "better tax code." Ernst emphasized that the current system is too bureaucratic and adds unnecessary burdens to the lives of average Americans. She said, "Let's make life better for hardworking Americans. We can't tax them to death. And my opponent, Congressman Braley, that seems to be the answer for everything — is higher taxes and more spending." Braley attacked her position through pointing out her continued support for scrapping federal programs. He emphasized that removing the current infrastructure for existing federal initiatives would cause dismay and harm towards the citizens that benefit from them. He stated that: "Every solution she has is throwing darts at the board, trying to get rid of programs that have had significant impacts and made a difference in the lives of Iowans."[55]
Race ratings
WaPo top races
According to an analysis by The Washington Post, the U.S. Senate election in Iowa was considered one of the top 10 Senate races of 2014. By late 2013 Republican candidate fundraising had not put up impressive fundraising. However, Rep. Braley had been continuing to put up high numbers.[56]
Polls
General election
| [hide]Braley v. Ernst (August 2014-Present) | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Bruce Braley (D) | Joni Ernst (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||
| Rasmussen October 28-30, 2014 | 47% | 48% | 3% | +/-3.0 | 990 | |||||||||
| CNN/ORC October 27-30, 2014 | 47% | 49% | 1% | +/-3.0 | 1,005 | |||||||||
| Marist October 24, 2014 | 46% | 49% | 4% | +/-3.0 | 1,093 | |||||||||
| Loras College October 21-24, 2014 | 45.3% | 44.2% | 8.2% | +/-2.93 | 1,121 | |||||||||
| Quinnipiac University October 23, 2014 | 46% | 48% | 4% | +/-3.2 | 964 | |||||||||
| Monmouth University October 18-21, 2014 | 46% | 47% | 2% | +/-4.8 | 423 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling October 15-16, 2014 | 48% | 47% | 5% | +/-3.6 | 714 | |||||||||
| Selzer's October 3-8, 2014 | 46% | 47% | 5% | +/-2.9 | 1,107 | |||||||||
| Quinnipiac University September 10-15, 2014 | 44% | 50% | 6% | +/-2.9 | 1,167 | |||||||||
| CNN/ORC September 8-10, 2014 | 49% | 48% | 1% | +/-3.5 | 1,013 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling August 28-30, 2014 | 43% | 45% | 12% | +/-3.2 | 816 | |||||||||
| Suffolk University/USA Today August 23-26, 2014 | 40% | 40% | 15% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling August 22-24, 2014 | 41% | 40% | 14% | +/-3.2 | 915 | |||||||||
| AVERAGES | 45.25% | 46.32% | 6.17% | +/-3.36 | 909.85 | |||||||||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | ||||||||||||||
| [hide]Braley v. Ernst (July 2013-August 2014) | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Bruce Braley (D) | Joni Ernst (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||
| Rasmussen Reports August 11-12, 2014 | 43% | 43% | 8% | +/-4.0 | 750 | |||||||||
| CBS/NYT/YouGov July 5-24, 2014 | 47% | 48% | 4% | +/-3.0 | 2,007 | |||||||||
| Human Events/Gravis Marketing July 17-18, 2014 | 44% | 43% | 13% | +/-3.0 | 1,179 | |||||||||
| NBC News/Marist July 7-13, 2014 | 43% | 43% | 14% | +/-2.5 | 1,599 | |||||||||
| Quinnipiac University June 12-16, 2014 | 44% | 40% | 14% | +/-2.7 | 1,277 | |||||||||
| Vox Populi June 4-5, 2014 | 49% | 44% | 7% | +/-3.8 | 667 | |||||||||
| Rasmussen Reports June 4-5, 2014 | 44% | 45% | 9% | +/-4.0 | 750 | |||||||||
| Loras College June 4-5, 2014 | 42% | 48% | 10% | +/-4.0 | 600 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling May 15-19, 2014 | 45% | 39% | 16% | +/-3.3 | 914 | |||||||||
| Suffolk University April 3-8, 2014 | 38% | 30% | 32% | +/-3.5 | 800 | |||||||||
| Rasmussen Reports March 24-25, 2014 | 40% | 37% | 23% | +/-4.0 | 750 | |||||||||
| Quinnipiac University March 5-10, 2014 | 42% | 29% | 29% | +/-2.6 | 1,411 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling February 20-23, 2014 | 41% | 35% | 23% | +/-3.3 | 869 | |||||||||
| Harper Polling November 23-24, 2013 | 42% | 36% | 22% | +/-3.12 | 985 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling July 5-7, 2013 | 45% | 33% | 22% | +/-3.8 | 668 | |||||||||
| AVERAGES | 43.27% | 39.53% | 16.4% | +/-3.37 | 1,015.07 | |||||||||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | ||||||||||||||
In a Quinnipiac University poll conducted June 12-16, 2014, men supported the female candidate and women supported the male contender. Women supported Bruce Braley (D) 47 percent to 36 percent, while men backed Joni Ernst (R) by a narrower 44 percent to 40 percent margin.[57]
| [hide]Possible match-up: Braley v. Whitaker | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Bruce Braley (D) | Matt Whitaker (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling May 15-19, 2014 | 43% | 36% | 21% | +/-3.3 | 914 | |||||||||
| Suffolk University April 3-8, 2014 | 38% | 27% | 33% | +/-3.5 | 800 | |||||||||
| Rasmussen Reports March 24-25, 2014 | 40% | 36% | 24% | +/-4.0 | 750 | |||||||||
| Quinnipiac University March 5-10, 2014 | 42% | 30% | 28% | +/-2.6 | 1,411 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling February 20-23, 2014 | 40% | 34% | 26% | +/-3.3 | 869 | |||||||||
| Harper Polling November 23-24, 2013 | 41% | 38% | 22% | +/-3.12 | 985 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling July 5-7, 2013 | 43% | 34% | 23% | +/-3.8 | 668 | |||||||||
| AVERAGES | 41% | 33.57% | 25.29% | +/-3.37 | 913.86 | |||||||||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | ||||||||||||||
| [hide]Possible match-up: Braley v. Clovis | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Bruce Braley (D) | Sam Clovis (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling May 15-19, 2014 | 43% | 34% | 21% | +/-3.3 | 914 | |||||||||
| Suffolk University April 3-8, 2014 | 38% | 25% | 35% | +/-3.5 | 800 | |||||||||
| Rasmussen Reports March 24-25, 2014 | 44% | 31% | 25% | +/-4.0 | 750 | |||||||||
| Quinnipiac University March 5-10, 2014 | 42% | 27% | 31% | +/-2.6 | 1,411 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling February 20-23, 2014 | 42% | 34% | 24% | +/-3.3 | 869 | |||||||||
| Harper Polling November 23-24, 2013 | 40% | 35% | 25% | +/-3.12 | 985 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling July 5-7, 2013 | 43% | 31% | 25% | +/-3.8 | 668 | |||||||||
| AVERAGES | 41.71% | 31% | 26.57% | +/-3.37 | 913.86 | |||||||||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | ||||||||||||||
| [hide]Possible match-up: Braley v. Jacobs | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Bruce Braley (D) | Mark Jacobs (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||
| Suffolk University April 3-8, 2014 | 37% | 31% | 32% | +/-3.5 | 800 | |||||||||
| Rasmussen Reports March 24-25, 2014 | 41% | 38% | 21% | +/-4.0 | 750 | |||||||||
| Quinnipiac University March 5-10, 2014 | 40% | 31% | 29% | +/-2.6 | 1,411 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling February 20-23, 2014 | 41% | 35% | 24% | +/-3.3 | 869 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling July 5-7, 2013 | 44% | 32% | 24% | +/-3.8 | 668 | |||||||||
| AVERAGES | 34% | 25.33% | +/-3.39 | 913.83 | ||||||||||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | ||||||||||||||
| [hide]Possible match-up: Braley v. Young | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Bruce Braley (D) | David Young (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||
| Harper Polling November 23-24, 2013 | 41% | 35% | 24% | +/-3.12 | 985 | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling July 5-7, 2013 | 45% | 32% | 24% | +/-3.8 | 668 | |||||||||
| AVERAGES | 43% | 33.5% | 24% | +/-3.46 | 826.5 | |||||||||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | ||||||||||||||
| [hide]Possible match-up: Braley v. Schaben | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Bruce Braley (D) | Scott Schaben (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||
| Suffolk University April 3-8, 2014 | 38% | 25% | 36% | +/-3.5 | 800 | |||||||||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | ||||||||||||||
Republican primary
| [hide]Republican primary | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Bob Vander Plaats | Sam Clovis | Matt Whitaker | Mark Jacobs | David Young | Scott Shaben | Paul Lunde | Joni Ernst | Someone else | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||
| Des Moines Register May 27-30, 2014 | 0% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 38% | 0% | 16% | +/-4.9 | 400 | ||
| Public Policy Polling May 15-19, 2014 | 0% | 14% | 6% | 18% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 34% | 0% | 26% | +/-3.3 | 914 | ||
| Loras College May 12-13, 2014 | 0% | 10% | 7% | 19% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 31% | 0% | 29% | +/-4.0 | 600 | ||
| Harper Polling April 30-May 1, 2014 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | +/-4.4 | 500 | ||
| Loras College April 7-8, 2014 | 0% | 7% | 4% | 19% | 0% | 3.5% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 46.5% | +/-4.0 | 600 | ||
| Suffolk University April 3-8, 2014 | 0% | 7% | 4% | 23% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 40% | +/-3.5 | 800 | ||
| Public Policy Polling February 20-23, 2014 | 0% | 8% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 13% | 0% | 42% | +/-3.3 | 869 | ||
| Hill Research Consultants February 12-13, 2014 | 0% | 6% | 8% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 3% | 50% | +/-4 | 500 | ||
| Kellyanne Conway November 22-23, 2013 | 28% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 39% | +/-4.9 | 400 | ||
| AVERAGES | 3.11% | 9.44% | 6.67% | 18.56% | 0.44% | 1.5% | 0.67% | 22.56% | 0.33% | 32.06% | +/-4.03 | 620.33 | ||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | ||||||||||||||
Campaign donors
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season.
| [hide]Bruce Braley (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| April Quarterly[58] | April 15, 2013 | $0.00 | $1,035,875.92 | $(31,259.28) | $1,004,606.64 | ||||
| July Quarterly[59] | July 13, 2013 | $1,004,606.64 | $1,258,495.47 | $(257,324.01) | $2,005,778.10 | ||||
| October Quarterly[60] | October 15, 2013 | $2,005,778.10 | $2,906,320.60 | $(582,969.55) | $2,323,351.05 | ||||
| Year-end[61] | January 31, 2014 | $2,323,351 | $1,020,227 | $(732,786) | $2,610,791 | ||||
| April Quarterly[62] | April 15, 2014 | $2,610,791 | $1,258,283 | $(756,501) | $3,112,574 | ||||
| July Quarterly[63] | July 15, 2014 | $2,336,719 | $1,268,724 | $(882,492) | $2,722,951 | ||||
| October Quarterly[64] | October 15, 2014 | $2,722,951 | $2,839,203 | $(4,318,146) | $1,244,008 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $11,587,128.99 | $(7,561,477.84) | ||||||||
| [hide]Joni Ernst (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| October Quarterly[65] | October 15, 2013 | $0.00 | $252,397 | $(28,112) | $224,285 | ||||
| Year End[66] | January 31, 2014 | $224,285 | $202,774 | $(137,544) | $289,514 | ||||
| April Quarterly[67] | April 15, 2014 | $289,514 | $285,664 | $(147,978) | $427,201 | ||||
| July Quarterly[68] | July 15, 2014 | $351,849 | $1,334,633 | $(620,317) | $1,109,044 | ||||
| October Quarterly[69] | October 15, 2014 | $1,109,044 | $6,022,042 | $(3,492,115) | $3,638,970 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $8,097,510 | $(4,426,066) | ||||||||
| [hide]Scott Schaben (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| October Quarterly[70] | October 15, 2013 | $0.00 | $8,291.00 | $(4,489.32) | $3,801.68 | ||||
| Year End[71] | January 31, 2014 | $3,801 | $4,297 | $(2,158) | $5,940 | ||||
| April Quarterly[72] | April 15, 2014 | $5,940 | $5,903 | $(4,627) | $7,215 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $18,491 | $(11,274.32) | ||||||||
| [hide]Sam Clovis (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| July Quarterly[73] | July 15, 2013 | $0.00 | $14,132.48 | $(2,328.62) | $11,803.86 | ||||
| October Quarterly[74] | October 15, 2013 | $11,803.86 | $78,426.98 | $(51,660.18) | $38,570.66 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $92,559.46 | $(53,988.8) | ||||||||
| [hide]Matt Whitaker (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| July Quarterly[75] | July 15, 2013 | $0.00 | $115,332.07 | $(4,087.66) | $111,244.41 | ||||
| October Quarterly[76] | October 15, 2013 | $111,244.41 | $104,557.61 | $(34,977.49) | $180,824.53 | ||||
| Year End[77] | January 31, 2014 | $180,824 | $111,071 | $(59,803) | $232,092 | ||||
| April Quarterly[78] | April 15, 2014 | $232,092 | $107,334 | $(50,340) | $289,087 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $438,294.68 | $(149,208.15) | ||||||||
Outside spending
In August 2013, the National Republican Senatorial Committee announced a new effort that targeted representative Bruce Braley called, “batting for Obamacare.”[79] The group planned on releasing seven billboards in Des Moines accusing Braley of hurting Iowans by supporting Obamacare.[79] The billboards had a baseball theme, with four versions of a scoreboard that cited families, farmers, seniors and small businesses as the losers when it comes to the federal healthcare law.[79] As part of the effort the group launched a website, WrongTeamBraley.com, which showed Braley wearing a baseball cap with the Obama campaign logo.[79]
Media
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Bruce Braley
- Even though he faced no primary challenger, Bruce Braley came out a week before the primary with a biographical ad touting his resume as a lawyer, describing it as one of fighting for people and helping them solve their problems.[80]
- “Equal justice under the law is what this country is built upon, is one of the things that motivated me to want to become a lawyer, and fight for people,” Braley said in the ad.[80]
- Just before Mother's Day, the second television ad of Bruce Braley's campaign highlighted the impact Marcia Braley--Bruce's mom--had on his life.[81]
- Braley said in the ad, “My mom is an incredible inspiration to me, and she's had a big impact on my life. She grew up in the Great Depression and taught us to work hard, put family first, and spend money wisely. But most importantly, she taught me to never give up no matter how tough things were. I’m running for Senate because I’m determined to fight for working families like the one I grew up in.”[81]
Mark Jacobs
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- Mark Jacobs released two ads in May 2014. One, "The wrong direction," focused on Obamacare and the other, "Outsider," showed Jacobs as a Washington outsider.[82]
- Jacobs (R) released the first ads of the campaign with a $138,000 December 2013 ad buy and another $75,000 ad buy in January 2014.[83][84]He also released a radio ad in early December 2013.[85]
Joni Ernst
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- Joni Ernst released a 30-second ad on March 24, 2014, "Squeal." The ad began with Ernst saying, "I can castrate pigs so I am the perfect conservative for Iowa to send to the Senate."[86][87] She also said in the ad, "I grew up castrating hogs on an Iowa farm. So when I get to Washington, I’ll know how to cut pork. Washington’s full of big spenders. Let’s make ’em squeal.”[87]
- Ernst's second ad, "Shot," was released on May 4, 2014.[88]
- "Conservative Joni Ernst: mom, farm girl and a lieutenant colonel who carries more than just lipstick in her purse. Joni Ernst will take aim at wasteful spending. And when she sets her sights on Obamacare, Joni's going to unload," the narrator said in the ad.[88]
- Ernst's third ad, "Never," criticized challenger Mark Jacobs.[89]
- "Why is Mark Jacobs falsely attacking Joni Ernst? Because Jacobs is from Texas, not Iowa. Jacobs supported this guy's cap and trade and Mark Jacobs gave thousands to Democrats, even the guy who cast the deciding vote for Obamacare," the narrator said.[89]
- A week before the Republican primary, Ernst released another ad, "Long Way."[90]
- In the ad, Ernst said: "I'm Joni Ernst and I approved this message, because this is home. I grew up walking beans on our family farm. The church I grew up in is the church where our daughter was baptized. Hard work. Love of country. This is where I learned America's greatness comes from people, not government. It's a long way from Red Oak to Washington. But I'm asking for your vote, because I'll take our values there, instead of the other way around."[90]
- Ernst released an ad on June 16, 2014, that went after Rep. Bruce Braley for running a negative campaign.[91]
Outside groups
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American Crossroads
Following a May 2014 incident involving chickens, American Crossroads, a Karl Rove-backed conservative super PAC, released an online ad referencing the confrontation between Braley and his neighbor and attempted to portray him as "an arrogant trial lawyer-turned-politician who is anything but 'Iowa nice.'"[92]
NextGen Climate Action
The NextGen Climate Action released an ad in July 2014 that targeted state Sen. Joni Ernst for signing Grover Norquist's anti-tax pledge to oppose "any and all efforts to increase the marginal income tax rates for individuals and/or businesses."[93] The commercial was part of a five-week, $2.6 million ad buy and aimed to tie Ernst to oil companies and the billionaire industrialist Koch brothers.[93]
ConcernedVets
The Koch-backed group ConcernedVets released an ad, "AWOL," that attacked Bruce Braley (D) for missing Veterans Affair Committee hearings to attend campaign fundraisers in July 2014.[94]
Americans for Prosperity
- Americans for Prosperity released an ad in June 2014, "Bruce Braley Supports Special Interests," that attacked Democratic nominee Bruce Braley for opposing the Keystone Pipeline.[95]
- On January 27, 2014, Senate Majority PAC launched its $225,000 television ad buy for Bruce Braley (D), in an effort to fight back against a $500,000 ad campaign by Americans for Prosperity.[96]
- In the ad, the narrator addressed the new healthcare law, “You’ve seen the ads – out-of-state billionaires playing politics with health care. The truth? Bruce Braley knows we need to fix the health care law, make it work for Iowa and hold insurance companies accountable. He knows we can’t go back to letting insurance companies deny coverage for pre-existing conditions and kick people off their coverage when they get sick.”[96]
American Heartland
A new Republican super PAC launched an ad attack against Mark Jacobs in May 2014. The ad accused Jacobs, the former CEO of Houston-based Reliant Energy who put more than $1.6 million of his own money into the race, of being a “Texas millionaire” who has waffled in his political views. The PAC, which was incorporated in 2013, had not previously been active.[97]
Senate Majority PAC
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Priorities for Iowa
- Priorities for Iowa released a 30-second, $250,000 ad on March 26, 2014, that featured Bruce Braley's comments about Sen. Chuck Grassley.[98]
- The Director of Priorities for Iowa, Sara Craig, said in a statement: “Bruce Braley was caught on video saying what he really thinks, and his apology doesn’t really hold up. His comments have created a national firestorm, but now all Iowans need to understand the full context. He isn’t just insulting Sen. Grassley, Iowa farmers, or people without law degrees, he is trying to sell a seat on the Senate Judiciary Committee, telling Texas trial lawyers he’ll be their ‘voice’ on the Committee. We need our next Senator to be Iowa’s voice, not the voice of trial lawyers.”[98]
Reclaim America
- Sen. Marco Rubio's PAC, Reclaim America, launched a $121,000 ad, "Leader," that described Joni Ernst (R) as "exceptional."[99]
- "This year, an exceptional Iowan is running for the U.S. Senate. Joni Ernst served our country in Iraq and led the largest battalion in the Iowa National Guard. Joni Ernst fought for, and won, the largest property tax cut in Iowa history. But most importantly, Joni Ernst is a mother, grandmother and Sunday school teacher - Iowa values to the core. Joni Ernst - she'll make us proud," the narrator said.[99]
Endorsements
Joni Ernst
- The U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsed Joni Ernst on May 13, 2014.[100]
- "Joni understands that big government is an impediment to job creation, and that the best way to turn the economy around and create jobs is through pro-growth economic policies. The U.S Chamber is proud to stand with Joni and highlight her work removing regulatory barriers and encouraging competition in Iowa. In today’s economy, that’s the type of leadership we need in Washington," Chamber Political Director Rob Engstrom said in a statement.[100]
- The group launched an ad that emphasized her farm-family upbringing and military credentials the week before the Republican primary.[101]
- The National Rifle Association gave Joni Ernst an "A" rating and endorsement on May 13, 2014.[102]
- “Joni Ernst has consistently opposed all attempts to restrict gun rights and has been a true friend of the Second Amendment,” said Chris W. Cox, chairman of the NRA’s Political Victory Fund.[102]
- Sen. Marco Rubio endorsed Ernst on May 5, 2014.[103][104]
- Sarah Palin endorsed Joni Ernst on March 26, 2014.[10]
- In a Facebook post, Palin wrote: "If Nebraska’s Deb Fischer can see through the bull in Washington, then Iowa’s Joni Ernst can help her cut through the pork. Growing up on a hog farm in Southwest Iowa, Joni has taken her 'pork cutting' skills to the Iowa State Senate where she has been a champion for life, small government, and lower taxes – voting for the largest tax cut in Iowa history. In Washington, she has pledged to defund Obamacare, limit the size of government, and protect life. As a concealed weapon license holder, she will fight to defend our Second Amendment rights – the NRA has given her an A rating."[10]
- Mitt Romney endorsed Ernst in an email sent to a substantial number of his backers in Iowa on March 5, 2014.[11] In the email he wrote, "...Now, more than ever, we need someone who will demand fiscal responsibility in Washington and will put up a strong fight against Obamacare. Mother, soldier and proven conservative, Joni Ernst, is ready to do just that. Join our efforts by making a contribution to Joni’s campaign today. Any and every contribution will make a difference."[11]
- On October 7, 2013, Iowa Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds announced her endorsement of Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate.[106]
Matt Whitaker
- Rick Perry issued an endorsement and campaigned for Matt Whitaker.[103][107]
Bruce Braley
- At Tom Harkin's 36th Annual Steak Fry in September 2013, the proceeds of which went toward To Organize a Majority PAC, several keyDemocratic members endorsed Bruce Braley for Harkin's seat.[108]
- Vice President Joe Biden also endorsed Braley.[108]“I’ve gotten to get to know Bruce,” Biden said. “Tom admires him, and it’s why I think he is going to be a great senator. He is absolutely authentic. I told Bruce I would come campaign for him or against him, whichever would help him most.”[108]
- Gabrielle Giffords, and her husband, former astronaut Mark Kelly, took part in a fundraiser in Des Moines on October 27, 2013.[109]
- Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorsed Braley on March 27, 2014.[110]
Debates
Republican primary
The Iowa Broadcast News Association sponsored a 90 minute debate for Republican candidates on May 3, 2014. The debate was part of the group’s annual convention.[111]
Election history
2014
| [hide]U.S. Senate, Iowa General Election, 2014 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Bruce Braley | 43.7% | 489,250 | |
| Republican | Joni Ernst | 52.2% | 584,133 | |
| Libertarian | Douglas Butzier | 0.7% | 8,292 | |
| Independent | Rick Stewart | 2.4% | 26,566 | |
| Independent | Ruth Smith | 0.4% | 4,694 | |
| Independent | Bob Quast | 0.5% | 5,908 | |
| Total Votes | 1,118,843 | |||
| Source: Iowa Secretary of State Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available. | ||||
2010
On November 2, 2010, Grassley won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Roxanne Conlin (D) and John Heiderscheit (L) in the general election.[112]
| [hide]U.S. Senate, Iowa General Election, 2010 | ||||
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| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Chuck Grassley Incumbent | 64.4% | 718,215 | |
| Democratic | Roxanne Conlin | 33.3% | 371,686 | |
| Libertarian | John Heiderscheit | 2.3% | 25,290 | |
| Total Votes | 1,115,191 | |||
2008
On November 4, 2008, Tom Harkin won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Christopher Reed (R) in the general election.[113]
| [hide]U.S. Senate, Iowa General Election, 2008 | ||||
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| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Tom Harkin incumbent | 62.7% | 941,665 | |
| Republican | Christopher Reed | 37.3% | 560,006 | |
| Total Votes | 1,501,671 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2014
- United States Senate elections, 2014
- BP News: Iowa GOP facing a potentially messy primary for U.S. Senate in 2014
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